[identity profile] badlydrawnjeff.livejournal.com posting in [community profile] talkpolitics
A gunman opened fire at a gay bar in Orlando, Florida late last night. As of writing this, there are reports of 50 dead so far with many more injured. The shooter has been identified as Omar Mateen, and reports as of right now suggest he may have been on some FBI terror watchlists and may have declared an allegiance or sympathies to ISIS, which would make this the most deadly terrorist attack on US soil since 9/11.

Consider this a consolidated open thread.

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Date: 12/6/16 18:22 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] hardblue.livejournal.com
One can't help wondering what the Republican reaction would be if it were, say, a white Christian militia person that did the shooting. They are gun-ho to ramp up the War on Terror as it is. If it were otherwise, would they be "it's just a lone crazy guy - no real news here, except that it's a tragedy"?

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Date: 12/6/16 20:47 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] mahnmut.livejournal.com
Cue the Gitmo advocates.

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Date: 13/6/16 10:44 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] luvdovz.livejournal.com
This must be posing quite a dilemma for some Trumpinists out there. On one hand, it turns out this was a Jihadist terror attack, so thanks Obama! On the other hand, this animal did slaughter a number of gays, so... Decisions...

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Date: 13/6/16 13:07 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] leo-sosnine.livejournal.com
Looks like the bar was in a gun-free zone, hence that high number of victims.

Looks like the offender has a history of threatening to kill folks, google for "Gilroy" and "G4S". But nobody did anything because of being afraid of getting a backlash from the liberal media.

And of course the main problem is Islam, not guns. Compare to French attacks where guns are restricted, but still, somehow, criminals and terrorists are armed no problem.

Also, wanted to note an absolutely neutered president's speech, who refused to put any blame on Islam or ISIS and pushed his usual anti-gun agenda.

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Date: 13/6/16 14:00 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] ddstory.livejournal.com
All right, this one was a shooter. But say, a terrorist does what most terrorists do these days, namely pushes a button and his suicide vest goes kaboom. Now tell me how any good law-abiding citizen with a gun would stop such a guy in a non-gun-restricted area.

You're carrying a gun in a bar. Abdul over there across the aisle is having a kebab. At some point, unnoticed, he reaches under his shirt, says a silent prayer, then pushes a button. Next thing you know, you're in Heaven (being the pious God-fearing law-abiding citizen that you certainly are). What good is your gun? Did it save your ass and a few dozen other asses?
Edited Date: 13/6/16 14:01 (UTC)

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Date: 13/6/16 14:07 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] mahnmut.livejournal.com
Gun control won't keep America safe the way good intelligence would. And by good intelligence I mean tort... cough, er, I mean, enhanced interrogation. America needs to establish a network of offshore detention camps fashioned after Gitmo. They may call them GITLag. That's the only way to keep America safe. That, and guns everywhere, of course. We could start with arming teachers in the classrooms. I'm sure nothing could possibly go wrong.

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Date: 13/6/16 15:47 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] leo-sosnine.livejournal.com
In this particular case you describe it probably wouldn't help, but there's still a chance.

But the thing is, this scenario is only one of many possible scenarios and in some of them this could have been prevented if it didn't happen in a gun free zone.

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Date: 13/6/16 21:41 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] don-oles.livejournal.com
better than a citizen without a gun.
trust me lady.
hehehehe

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Date: 13/6/16 14:03 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] luvdovz.livejournal.com
Like I said, Thanks Obama! Obama is destroying this country. Fortunately, Trump is going to make it great again. Amurika aw hell yeah!

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Date: 13/6/16 15:51 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] dexeron.livejournal.com
"Looks like the bar was in a gun-free zone, hence that high number of victims."

Armed security present were unable to stop this attack. Similar attacks where armed customers were present have sometimes has had high body counts because the "good guys with guns" recognized that they couldn't fire back without endangering those around them. There have been some situations where "good guys with guns" have fired back in a shooter situation - and made things worse. I'd wager that a dark nightclub with flashing nights and loud music is not the ideal environment for successfully hitting one's target.

"Looks like the offender has a history of threatening to kill folks, google for "Gilroy" and "G4S". But nobody did anything because of being afraid of getting a backlash from the liberal media."

Citation needed that "nobody did anything because of being afraid of getting a backlash." Suggestions welcome for how we can square the contradictory positions of "everyone is innocent until proven guilty" and "the police should have had magic time-travel foresight and arrested this guy before he committed any crimes."

"And of course the main problem is Islam, not guns. Compare to French attacks where guns are restricted, but still, somehow, criminals and terrorists are armed no problem."

Suggestions welcome for how we deal with lone-wolf terrorists who are not in direct contact with any terrorist groups (therefore, no intelligence is available) but who decide to go out and perform an attack on their own. Bonus points for explaining how a lone wolf Muslim unaffiliated with any actual terrorist group who shoots up a nightclub makes Islam "the main problem" but a lone wolf Christian unaffiliated with any actual terrorist group who shoots up Planned Parenthood doesn't make Christianity "the main problem."

Extra credit for squaring how we can deal with this supposed "main problem" without violating essential freedoms and guarantees. Extra-extra credit for explaining how this is not serving the very interests of groups like ISIS who benefit greatly from the "Islam is the enemy" narrative.

"an absolutely neutered president's speech"

Neutered would imply doing nothing. A more accurate assessment would be that the President disagrees with you on what the problem actually is, and what the solutions to that problem might be.
Edited Date: 13/6/16 15:52 (UTC)

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Date: 13/6/16 16:04 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] leo-sosnine.livejournal.com
It is not a stupid contest with points and i'm not a monkey in your game. Go answer yourself with google.

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Date: 14/6/16 00:05 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] mikeyxw.livejournal.com
Of the 15,000 or so murders per year, a few dozen are incidents like this, the other 99.something% are from people shooting someone, usually someone they know, for what is usually a stupid reason. While they don't make the news like a terrorist attack, they do a lot more damage as a whole. Having more people armed while drinking alcohol in a public place sounds like a great way to cut down on the dozens of people who are killed in these kind of terrorist attacks while increasing the thousands who are killed by armed people being stupid.

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Date: 14/6/16 05:45 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] nairiporter.livejournal.com
If it was a gun-free zone, then why was this person allowed to carry a gun inside? If there is a rule but it is not being enforced, then it is not a rule, it is a recommendation - which means it is useless. If there was armed security at the entrance, the guy would not be able to enter with a gun, and he would either have to go away, or get into a scuffle with the guards, and risk compromising his "mission".

The problem is not with the rule/law. It is with the enforcement. Now, I am aware that you cannot put armed security at every bar or cafeteria in town. But if you are going to put a rule/law in place, better be prepared to have someone around to enforce it.

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Date: 14/6/16 20:26 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] nairiporter.livejournal.com
While we pretend that this is about Islam, here is the thing. Mass shootings are a largely American phenomenon. In fact, Americans own more guns than citizens of any other country (http://wtkr.com/2016/06/14/us-home-to-nearly-a-third-of-worlds-mass-shootings/).

Food for thought. In case anyone is hungry.

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Date: 20/6/16 03:21 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] yes-justice.livejournal.com
the main problem is Islam, not guns

If you eliminate all killings by all muslims in the USA, it doesn't make a significant change in the gun homicide numbers.

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Date: 13/6/16 22:09 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] abomvubuso.livejournal.com
What most people who are focusing on either the terrorist dimension of the incident or the gun control debate seem to be missing is the main thing here: the resilience of the thousands and millions of ordinary people who've responded to this tragedy in all ways imaginable. Some have lined up to donate blood; and as John Oliver said the other night, this is the one thing that shows best that that dipshit terrorist is vastly outnumbered.

Never forget that.

We can bicker about the possible ways of preventing such tragedies in the future all we want, but the bottom-line is, there'll always be insane rogue extremists who are full of hatred to everything and anything that a society holds dear. But as long as that society responds in the way all those people did, the monsters have no chance of prevailing.

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Date: 13/6/16 22:16 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] htpcl.livejournal.com
Well, koomba-ya is nice and all, and yet the possible ways of preventing such tragedies in the future is what matters the most here.

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Date: 14/6/16 07:05 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] dreamville-bg.livejournal.com
Their purpose is not to prevail. It's to disrupt. Some do it because their ego dictates them. Others hear voices in their heads. Still others have emptied their head altogether, and allowed only toxic ideology in. But whatever the case, they don't realistically hope to transform society into their pipe-dream dystopia (a Caliphate is impossible in America). So they just aim to cause as much disruption as they can, and that's all.

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Date: 13/6/16 22:16 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] oportet.livejournal.com
Judging by the government and medias reaction, and the comments here so far - it looks like the chances of anyone on the right conceding gun laws and background checks need to be upgraded is the same as anyone on the left conceding Islam has a problem. Somebody drop the blind loyalty, at least suggest there might be a multiple step solution, ready.....go!

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Date: 14/6/16 06:01 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] htpcl.livejournal.com
There is.

One part of that multi-step solution is acknowledging that the whole debate about gun control is focusing on the wrong aspect of the issue. If you ban people from carrying guns by law, law-abiding citizens will not be carrying guns. And criminals would keep being armed in a gun-less environment. Which gives them a huge advantage. Unless you want to put armed guards at every corner and every bar, then you've got a problem. Not to mention that a shooter can always surprise the guards and aim at them first, and after they're out, the shooter can then go on his rampage unimpeded.

The focus should be on controlling who gets guns, how, and why, and knowing who has them. But of course the gun-producing, gun-selling lobby is so powerful, it's not going to let that happen without a huge fight. Perhaps even literally.
Edited Date: 14/6/16 06:01 (UTC)

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Date: 14/6/16 07:08 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] mahnmut.livejournal.com
Islam does have a problem. Christianity has a problem too. Judaism has huge problems. In fact, all religions are problematic.

One'd think we should've been done with religion by the 21st century, but we aren't. We might not be as smart as we think we are, after all.

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Date: 14/6/16 12:49 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] dexeron.livejournal.com
Islam does have a problem, and it deserves to be called out. The problem is that there's a contingent who can't stop there, who want to say: "All Muslims are the problem" and declare war on 1.2 billion people. There's a real danger there. ISIS's greatest enemy is other Muslims, the surrounding legitimate governments. Because of this they want us to buy into this narrative where Islam is the enemy. These war-mongerers who scream that all Muslims are a threat, that we are "at war with Islam" don't realize (or perhaps simply don't care) that they are doing what ISIS wants, dancing to their tune. ISIS wants us to fight their enemies for them, and too many of us are stupidly willing to do that. If they had a bit of self-awareness, they'd be ashamed to be, in effect, taking orders from ISIS.

We all get that, but the problem is that our politics are so oppositional. The above problem mostly comes from the right, so on the left instead of saying: "No, that's too far, let's fight radical Islamism, not all of Islam," you get people who can't even concede that Islam does anything wrong, ever. I get it, of course. People will talk about the "religion of peace" because it's in the environment where Muslim Americans are still being discriminated against or attacked because of some assholes who had nothing to do with them except for sharing a faith. But it does get taken too far sometimes. I'd argue that it's a fringe, honestly, but I'll admit that they have a big voice. It also does show that we on the left are just as able to forego facts and reality in favor of knee-jerk partisan fighting. Cognitive bias and logical fallacies are not the sole property of the right. ;)

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Date: 15/6/16 20:00 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] abomvubuso.livejournal.com
I'm (kind of) glad the debate at least hasn't devolved into pro and anti-Muslim, and has remained pro and anti-gun, thus far.
From: [identity profile] aurfin76.livejournal.com
the point is that if armed ones allowed in the area the instinct of self-preservation stops the shooter or at least discourages the shooter to the extent the shooter can't act. What if the man with gun is just one step behind him? The shooter can loose his life not having shot anybody.

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Date: 14/6/16 06:04 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] luvdovz.livejournal.com
Yeah, that's right, in case the shooter was psychologically normal - which most shooters aren't (almost by definition). If a shooter goes on a rampage, chances are, they are mentally unhinged, or are sold to some mind-numbing cult or suicidal ideology. Which means they don't care about self-preservation and all that jazz.

If you're an ordinary guy who cares about their own preservation, you wouldn't start shooting at a crowd in the first place.

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