1/12/09

[identity profile] ironhawke.livejournal.com
So the news of the day is this: Obama has reached a decision on Afghanistan, is sending 30,000 more troops into the country, and has a plan in place to train the Afghan military such that the US will be able to pull out; leaving a stable country in place.

I'm sure that most of us expected this. He campaigned on this issue and has repeatedly said that there needs to be clear and concise actions taken in our war there to root out Al-Qaeda and the Taliban. The question in most of our minds was more or less along the lines of "How many troops, and for how long?"

My take: FINALLY. As near as I can tell the Bush era plan on Afghanistan was something akin to, "Afghanistan? Huh? Wherezat? Oh, its near Iraq right? Iraq? You're telling me there's terrorists in Iraq!?? Lets go kick ass!" Or something equally absurd. Most Americans back in 2001 supported our going to war with the country and rightfully so. They harbored a group that gave us a serious case of red-headed stepchild syndrome and we had all the rights in the world to go shit-kick them back into the stone age. However with Iraq somehow becoming more important, Afghanistan was relegated to "retarded kid in the back of the class" and summarily ignored. As a result the opposition (you know, the people we went in there to kill?) have regrouped and are finding it easy to recruit, train and excecute attacks on US troops. This "surge" needed to happen 5 years ago, and its long overdue.

The consequences: Unfortunately we're boned either way, like, John Holmes style boned. Obama is facing a horrible prospect. He has to finish this bullshit war knowing that the very people who put him in office are frothing at the mouth to pull all of our troops out. I see that we're going to have a strong (read: 50,000 troops or more) for at least two years. After which we will see an Iraq-style pullout followed by a complete takeover of the Afghani government by Taliban sympathizers and within 10 years we'll see another theocracy just as bad or worse as the Taliban. *sigh* Again however, this is the only sane choice we have. We absolutely have to show the world that we're willing to actually stick out a protracted war and take the steps needed to win it. After we've blown up a few thousand Afghanis we can pull out, let the whole thing go to shit, and say "Hey, at least it wasn't out fault!"

Thoughts? Does anyone have any reasoning why Obama should have done something different? Should we pull out right now? Why? I'm honestly curious if someone has a rational argument to throw at this. (For context I live in Boulder, Colorado and quite frankly I'm sick of the antics of the ultra-liberal anti-war folks...I'm honestly looking for someone to give me a reason I can at least consider without taking half my brain out first.)

-S
[identity profile] jellomarx.livejournal.com
I'm torn about the President's Afghan policy. Do we support an obviously corrupt government, like we did in Vietnam? Do we allow a nation that will be built on drug trafficing to grow? Has history shown us that no outside nation can win a war in that region? Do we abandon them, like we did in the 80s and earlier in this decade? IF so are we somewhat responsible for the abuses that the women of the region will again have to face? Do those of us who chose not to fight, have a right to ask young men and women to fight for us? I think when listening to the speech, that we should remember that there is no good answer.
[identity profile] anfalicious.livejournal.com
Hi all,

Can someone point me in the direction of some info regarding the Waxman Markey bill? I'm specifically looking for the bit that talks about imposing tariffs on countries who don't get on board with an emissions trading scheme.

The news from Oz is that our conservatives have a new leader, Tony Abbott. He won because he was the candidate of denial. We won't be taking anything to Copenhagen with the party voting to defer a senate vote on the legislation until after Copenhagen. It's also likely that he will go to the next election* with an ETS = Massive Tax Grab platform, which is likely to get some support.

However, if the outcome after Copenhagen is that we have some global deal in place (I think this is seeming more likely, as China and the US are offering something now, and it's something I think is likely to be accepted, with reservations, but the Europeans), and such a deal includes imposing import tariffs on non-ETS countries then the simple argument is that not having an ETS will be devastating for the agricultural, mining and manufacturing industries (which, along with tourism and education pretty much is the Australian economy). These three industries are usually the support base of our conservatives.

I'm not overly concerned, our PM has record approval rates and a mass of political capital he can spend, but at the same time, our opposition is now led by our equivalent of Sarah Palin, with the exception that he actually has half a clue when it comes to politics. As someone said today "yo, Liberal party, now, imma let you finish, but Sarah Palin was the best crazy candidate of ALL TIME!".



Separated at birth?


*Our next election could be as soon as December. If the bill is deferred, the government can argue that the senate is being obstructionist and call a Double Dissolution election, where both houses of parliament are completely thrown out and we vote again for everyone (normally our senate elections are only half the senate). Given that that will likely mean a massive increase in the presence of the Greens in the senate, I doubt this will happen, so it's more likely to be a general election sometime after August (the earliest they can call a general).


*edit: code fail and adding a picture.

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